☈ P r o k a l i p t i k a
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Introduction
The Eastern Mediterranean is undergoing significant realignment in its energy landscape. The EU is working to reduce its reliance on Russian gas, while Israel and Egypt scale up production. Greece is emerging as an LNG transit hub, and Turkey is pursuing greater energy autonomy. These developments are reshaping the region’s geopolitical balance. The window for monetizing hydrocarbons is narrowing as the global shift to cleaner energy accelerates. Countries that move quickly on investment and cooperation will hold strategic advantage by 2030.
Panos Kountouriotis
November 1, 2025
On October 30, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced from the Oval Office a decision unprecedented in 33 years:
"I have ordered the Pentagon to immediately begin preparations to resume nuclear testing in the United States. We will do this on par with other countries that are already doing it."
Within hours, the news made headlines worldwide. From the Nevada National Security Site to the Kremlin and Beijing, the international community faced a question long considered settled: Will the global moratorium on nuclear tests be broken?
Turkey has confirmed a purchase of 20 Eurofighter Typhoon jets from the United Kingdom, capping a four-year negotiation. While the aircraft will bring advanced weapons and sensors to Ankara, current force developments leave the Hellenic Air Force with a durable operational advantage over the Aegean.
Summary: Israel has categorically rejected the prospect of armed Turkish forces operating in the Gaza Strip as part of any post-war stabilization mission. The rejection is rooted in a dense mix of historical grievances, rhetorical escalation by Ankara, tangible security concerns, legal and sovereignty questions, and broader regional competition for influence.
Turkey’s proposal to end a key tax exemption on certain equity-dominated mutual funds is set to hit 84 funds managing about 71 billion liras ($2.1 billion), according to an impact analysis reviewed by Bloomberg.
The European Union, through its new defense initiative SAFE (Security Action for Europe), is moving toward greater strategic autonomy. Meanwhile, Turkey—an applicant to join SAFE and a long-standing NATO member—finds itself at a critical geopolitical crossroads. In a potential confrontation between Europe and Russia, would Ankara turn against Moscow, or continue to play both sides? This analysis explores Turkey’s strategic options, its ties with Russia and the EU, and the internal and external forces shaping its stance.
Why Israel Rejects a Turkish Military Role in Gaza **A Policy Memo on Security, Power, and Post-War Governance** *(Updated: 16 December 202...
