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29 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Greece Maintains Edge in the Skies as Turkey Orders Eurofighters

Think Tank • CEMPS

Greece Maintains Edge in the Skies as Turkey Orders Eurofighters

Turkey has confirmed a purchase of 20 Eurofighter Typhoon jets from the United Kingdom, capping a four-year negotiation. While the aircraft will bring advanced weapons and sensors to Ankara, current force developments leave the Hellenic Air Force with a durable operational advantage over the Aegean.

25 Οκτωβρίου 2025

The Post-Ersin Tatar Era in Cyprus

The Post-Ersin Tatar Era in Cyprus: Realism, Dependence, and Tufan Erhürman’s Gamble
Analysis

The Post-Ersin Tatar Era in Cyprus: Realism, Dependence, and Tufan Erhürman’s Gamble

Analysis of the New Turkish Cypriot Leader’s Statements and the Prospects for the Cyprus Issue
Summary:
Tufan Erhürman’s landslide victory in the occupied territories signals a potential end to Ersin Tatar’s “two-state” policy. However, his initial statements blend moderation with firm “red lines” on political equality and Turkey’s guarantees, suggesting cautious openness to dialogue constrained by Ankara’s influence.

23 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Netanyahu’s Rejection and Turkey’s Diplomatic Isolation in Post-War Gaza

Netanyahu’s Rejection and Turkey’s Diplomatic Isolation in Post-War Gaza — CEMPS Policy Brief

Netanyahu’s Rejection and Turkey’s Diplomatic Isolation in Post-War Gaza

Center for Eastern Mediterranean Policy Studies (CEMPS) — Publication: 23 October 2025 — Author: [Panos Kountouriotis]
Executive Summary
The Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu's refusal on 22 October 2025 to permit Turkish military forces in Gaza is a decision with meaningful diplomatic consequences. This stance not only excludes Turkey from the emerging post-war stabilization mechanism but also deepens Ankara’s diplomatic isolation from the principal processes shaping the future of Gaza. Although Turkey retains indirect influence through humanitarian diplomacy, contacts with Hamas, and its NATO ties, this decision significantly constrains Ankara’s ambition to play a central, leading role in Gaza’s post-ceasefire reconstruction and stabilization.

22 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Why Israel Opposes Armed Turkish Forces in Gaza

Why Israel Opposes Armed Turkish Forces in Gaza

Why Israel Opposes Armed Turkish Forces in Gaza

Summary: Israel has categorically rejected the prospect of armed Turkish forces operating in the Gaza Strip as part of any post-war stabilization mission. The rejection is rooted in a dense mix of historical grievances, rhetorical escalation by Ankara, tangible security concerns, legal and sovereignty questions, and broader regional competition for influence.

21 Οκτωβρίου 2025

9 Ναυτικά Μίλια στο Αιγαίο: Συμβιβασμός, Πρελούδιο ή Στρατηγική Υποχώρηση;

9 Ναυτικά Μίλια στο Αιγαίο: Συμβιβασμός, Πρελούδιο ή Στρατηγική Υποχώρηση;

9 Ναυτικά Μίλια στο Αιγαίο: Συμβιβασμός, Πρελούδιο ή Στρατηγική Υποχώρηση;

Η πρόταση για συμφωνία Ελλάδας–Τουρκίας σχετικά με την επέκταση των χωρικών υδάτων στα 9 ναυτικά μίλια επαναφέρει παλιές εντάσεις στο Αιγαίο. Το ζήτημα δεν είναι μόνο νομικό, αλλά βαθιά γεωπολιτικό και συμβολικό. Η παρούσα ανάλυση εξετάζει τις πιθανές επιπτώσεις και τη στρατηγική σημασία μιας τέτοιας κίνησης.

20 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Turkey’s Plan to Scrap Tax Exemption Set to Hit 84 Equity Funds

Turkey’s Plan to Scrap Tax Exemption Set to Hit 84 Equity Funds

Turkey’s Plan to Scrap Tax Exemption Set to Hit 84 Equity Funds

Turkey’s proposal to end a key tax exemption on certain equity-dominated mutual funds is set to hit 84 funds managing about 71 billion liras ($2.1 billion), according to an impact analysis reviewed by Bloomberg.

By Panagiotis Kountouriotis • Published: Oct 21, 2025 • Tags: Bloomberg, Markets, TRY/USD

18 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Turkey at the Crossroads: Would It Fight Russia in a European Conflict?

Turkey at the Crossroads: Would It Fight Russia in a European Conflict? — International Strategy Analysis, Oct 2025

The European Union, through its new defense initiative SAFE (Security Action for Europe), is moving toward greater strategic autonomy. Meanwhile, Turkey—an applicant to join SAFE and a long-standing NATO member—finds itself at a critical geopolitical crossroads. In a potential confrontation between Europe and Russia, would Ankara turn against Moscow, or continue to play both sides? This analysis explores Turkey’s strategic options, its ties with Russia and the EU, and the internal and external forces shaping its stance.

15 Οκτωβρίου 2025

What Went Wrong With Hamas’s Demilitarization?

What Comes Next in the Middle East: The Israel–Hamas Deal, Netanyahu’s Ultimatum, and Turkey’s Strategic Position

The recent agreement between Israel and Hamas, brokered by the Trump administration, marks a pivotal moment in the long-standing conflict in Gaza. With the return of 20 Israeli hostages and the release of nearly 2,000 Palestinian prisoners, the first phase of the peace initiative has concluded. Yet, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned in his exclusive interview with CBS News, “the next phase is the demilitarization of Hamas — or all hell breaks loose.”

13 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Gaza Peace Deal Hailed as Historic — but Fragile Without Israel’s Presence


Gaza Peace Deal Hailed as Historic — but Fragile Without Israel’s Presence



Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt — A peace agreement aimed at ending the war in Gaza has been hailed as a historic breakthrough by international leaders, though questions remain over its durability following Israel’s absence from the signing summit in Sharm el-Sheikh.

Gold Hits Record $4,070 as US-China Tensions Flare and Fed Rate Cuts Loom


Gold futures surged to a record $4,070 an ounce in New York on Monday, as investors flocked to the haven asset amid renewed US-China trade frictions, a protracted US government shutdown, and growing bets on aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts.


08 Οκτωβρίου 2025

Turkey to Keep Buying Russian Gas Despite U.S. Calls to Curb Energy Imports


Turkey will continue purchasing natural gas from Russia, defying U.S. calls to halt energy imports from the country. Ankara emphasized that supply diversification remains a cornerstone of its energy policy but said ending existing contracts is not part of its current plans, CNN TÜRK reported, citing RBC-Ukraine on Thursday, October 2.

Greece Maintains Edge in the Skies as Turkey Orders Eurofighters

Think Tank • CEMPS Greece Maintains Edge in the Skies as Turkey Orders Eurofighters Panos Kountouriotis • ...